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Monday, March 28, 2011

India vs Pakistan: The statistical preview


An India contra Pakistan compare upon a vast theatre – as great as they do not come as great many bigger than a World Cup semi-final – has layers of subtext using by it. Quite detached from a chronological container that comes with representing a single of these teams opposite a other, a cricketing sub-texts as great have for erotically appealing study.

The stream compare has fast acquired a “Indian batsmen contra Pakistan bowlers” label. Given that batting is India’s strength as great as bowling Pakistan’s, this is frequency surprising. However, small research has followed a labelling. Which batsman, for example, should India or Pakistan be heedful about if they get set? Which bowler is a many harmful for possibly side when he gets in to a rhythm? Equally – either they be batsmen or bowlers – customarily how harmful have been they? Here have been a little numbers that competence answer those questions.

Note: In a following analysis, numbers opposite a Top Teams have been used. The Top Teams, put simply, have been a 8 quarter-finalists of a 2011 World Cup. For any player, a numbers have been opposite a 7 alternative tip sides, ie: Australia, England, New Zealand, South Africa, Sri Lanka, West Indies as great as India/Pakistan.

The research additionally leaves out players such as R Ashwin, Wahab Riaz, Abdur Rehman as great as Asad Shafiq given they haven’t played sufficient ODI matches as great as their stats get lopsided in a deficiency of sufficient data.

The following dual tables etch a Indian as great as Pakistan batsmen’s averages as great as set upon rates – in their career, opposite a Top Teams, as great as opposite their semi-final opponent.

India

Career Average Ave vs Top Teams Ave vs Pakistan Career St. Rate St. Rate vs Top Teams St. Rate vs Pakistan
Virender Sehwag 35.26 34.67 35.64 103.94 102.02 103.41
Sachin Tendulkar 45.13 43.52 39.16 86.36 85.29 87.70
Gautam Gambhir 40.29 36.20 34.85 86.58 86.35 87.76
Virat Kohli 45.47 42.83 17.00 82.71 80.94 66.66
Yuvraj Singh 37.69 36.65 48.11 87.59 85.68 92.94
MS Dhoni 48.23 45.38 54.22 87.39 85.95 95.87
Suresh Raina 35.22 32.19 37.00 89.80 87.55 95.79

Pakistan

Career Average Ave vs Top Teams Ave vs India Career St. Rate St. Rate vs Top Teams St. Rate vs India
Kamran Akmal 27.66 26.91 22.47 84.27 82.93 85.26
Mohammad Hafeez 23.26 24.12 24.50 65.53 65.80 59.75
Younis Khan 32.29 29.31 40.96 75.05 71.76 86.67
Misbah ul Haq 40.60 40.47 47.71 78.74 77.29 107.74
Umar Akmal 36.30 34.07 10.50 84.22 82.43 77.77
Abdul Razzaq 30.11 29.00 24.96 81.54 80.58 94.97
Shahid Afridi 23.65 22.79 25.26 113.89 109.57 108.67

It is obviously clear that there is a vast batting cove in in in between a dual teams, with a Indian batsmen rounded off regularly averaging aloft than their Pakistan counterparts. Misbah ul Haq as great as Younis Khan have a many appropriate numbers opposite India, as great as as they have finished for many of a World Cup, they’ll have to reason a center for Pakistan again.

Young guns Virat Kohli as great as Umar Akmal have bad stats opposite Pakistan as great as India respectively, yet that is quite given they have played really couple of matches.

These stats can be explored deeper to see customarily who is it just in in between a batsmen who flog upon to get a vast measure once they have been set. The wily partial is judging when a batsman is essentially set. For this analysis, a batters’ stats for innings in that they have scored during slightest twenty is taken. The reduced answer to given a figure is twenty runs – as great as not, say, eighteen runs or twenty-five runs – is simply that it seemed a in accord with extent to set. If a batsman has reached a measure of 20, he is great set. The stats for >20 scores have been again taken customarily contra a tip teams.

Along with how a batsmen perform when set, have been their total for a year 2011. This is to prove new form, as great as embody all matches a batsman in subject has played from Jan 1 2011 to date.

India

Ave vs Top Teams St. Rate vs Top Teams Ave when >20 runs vs T.T. St. Rate when >20 runs vs T. T. % Inns >20 vs T. T. 2011 – Average 2011 – Strike Rate
Virender Sehwag 34.67 102.02 57.05 107.98 55.26% 57.00 120.84
Sachin Tendulkar 43.52 85.29 71.39 90.15 58.68% 45.55 91.11
Gautam Gambhir 36.20 86.35 65.23 92.17 52.69% 38.42 87.33
Virat Kohli 42.83 80.94 65.54 83.01 63.41% 43.10 83.52
Yuvraj Singh 36.65 85.68 67.00 91.20 52.86% 54.00 81.81
MS Dhoni 45.38 85.95 68.86 90.47 63.70% 22.22 66.66
Suresh Raina 32.19 87.55 56.47 93.12 52.87% 24.83 84.18

Pakistan

Ave vs Top Teams St. Rate vs Top Teams Ave when >20 runs vs T.T. St. Rate when >20 runs vs T. T. % Inns >20 vs T. T. 2011 – Average 2011 – Strike Rate
Kamran Akmal 26.91 82.93 54.16 92.63 43.69% 32.80 75.22
Mohammad Hafeez 24.12 65.80 46.08 74.90 44.07% 30.72 78.97
Younis Khan 29.31 71.76 54.47 79.00 46.82% 28.70 71.92
Misbah ul Haq 40.47 77.29 63.61 81.86 66.67% 56.42 72.21
Umar Akmal 34.07 82.43 54.13 88.16 58.06% 33.88 87.39
Abdul Razzaq 29.00 80.58 62.89 92.94 43.88% 19.85 90.84
Shahid Afridi 22.79 109.57 45.81 122.47 39.68% 19.72 134.78

The upon tip of tables have for engaging reading. As he customarily does when any arrange of Batting numbers have been looked at, Sachin Tendulkar leads a assign here too. He has averaged over 70 once he has crossed twenty opposite a tip teams – a customarily male to do so in a list above. What is engaging though, is that a differences in in in between a dual teams’ batsmen do not crop up as magnified when a >20 scores have been looked at. This suggests that once a Pakistan batsmen have been set, they can come closer to relating a Indians even if they [the Indians] have been additionally set. However, they have been still behind, as great as in in between a pass columns in a tables upon tip of is a a single that shows, in percentage, a series of innings for any batsman in that he has crossed 20.

On an average, a Indians cranky twenty a lot some-more than their Pakistan counterparts. What this equates to is that a Indian batsmen have a larger odds of starting upon to get vast scores, simply given they ‘get their eye in’ a lot some-more often. This is where a disproportion in batting strengths in a dual sides is visible: once set, both sets of batsmen do go upon to means damage, yet a Indians get set a lot some-more mostly than a Pakistanis do.

For a particular bowlers from both sides, a primary tables with career, tip teams as great as competition stats, have been decorated below.

India

Career Ave Ave vs Top Teams Ave vs Pakistan Career Econ Rate Econ Rate vs Top Teams Econ Rate vs Pakistan
Zaheer Khan 28.83 32.94 41.76 4.89 5.07 5.63
Harbhajan Singh 33.53 34.3 63.16 4.31 4.39 4.92
Munaf Patel 29.75 30.76 NA 4.89 4.97 NA
Yuvraj Singh 37.65 39.51 32.00 5.03 5.08 5.58
S Sreesanth 32.74 31.88 36.81 6.06 6.05 5.41
Ashish Nehra 31.92 31.42 31.29 5.21 5.37 6.15

Pakistan

Career Ave Ave vs Top Teams Ave vs India Career Econ Rate Econ Rate vs Top Teams Econ Rate vs India
Umar Gul 26.03 28.52 42.15 5.02 5.31 5.87
Shoaib Akhtar 24.97 25.70 26.78 4.76 4.91 4.59
Abdul Razzaq 31.79 34.07 39.45 4.70 4.75 5.03
Shahid Afridi 33.76 38.32 55.50 4.61 4.73 5.01
Saeed Ajmal 29.61 30.50 22.33 4.36 4.43 4.64
Mohammad Hafeez 33.69 37.2 57.00 4.43 4.43 6.90

This rounded off reads identical to an opposite of a batting table. The Pakistan bowlers have, upon an average, absolutely out-performed their Indian brethren. The subsequent dual tables chuck serve light upon a bowlers. In a same approach as scores upon tip of twenty were taken for a batsman, for bowlers, their total when receiving 2 or some-more wickets have been considered. One can safely say, that in many cases where a bowler has picked up 2 or some-more wickets in an ODI, he would have bowled great upon a total as great as found great rhythm. Again, likewise to a batsmen, any bowler’s 2011 total have been additionally supposing to give an thought of stream form. The applicable tables are:

India

Ave vs Top Teams E. Rate vs Top Teams Ave vs T.T. when >2 wkts E. Rate vs T.T. when >2wkts % Inns >2 wkts vs T.T. 2011 – Average 2011 – Economy Rate
Zaheer Khan 32.94 5.07 17.74 4.77 39.46% 19.30 4.64
Harbhajan Singh 34.30 4.39 15.19 4.02 31.67% 50.20 4.40
Munaf Patel 30.76 4.97 16.42 4.83 39.22% 23.90 5.44
Yuvraj Singh 39.51 5.08 15.62 4.43 16.13% 25.93 4.94
S Sreesanth 31.88 6.05 16.60 5.63 41.30% NA 10.60
Ashish Nehra 31.42 5.37 16.18 4.96 42.00% 65.25 6.57

Pakistan

Ave vs Top Teams E. Rate vs Top Teams Ave vs T.T. when >2 wkts E. Rate vs T.T. when >2wkts % Inns >2 wkts vs T.T. 2011 – Average 2011 – Economy Rate
Umar Gul 28.52 5.31 15.16 4.85 43.94% 20.66 4.35
Shoaib Akhtar 25.70 4.91 14.26 4.44 47.01% 47.80 5.55
Abdul Razzaq 34.07 4.75 15.14 4.50 26.76% 31.75 4.09
Shahid Afridi 38.32 4.73 14.96 4.25 26.25% 17.00 4.01
Saeed Ajmal 30.50 4.43 15.59 4.17 45.71% 16.33 3.06
Mohammad Hafeez 37.20 4.43 19.54 4.83 18.87% 27.27 4.00

Zaheer Khan’s new form for India augurs intensely well, given when he is upon song, his total have for considerable reading. Even some-more considerable than that have been Harbhajan Singh’s total when he has picked up a wicket. It’s mostly pronounced that Harbhajan is a opposite bowler when he has wickets, as great as a explanation is in a list above. However, a worrying partial is Harbhajan’s rate of picking up 2 or some-more wickets. He has finished so in reduction than a third of a times he has left up to bowl. And his stream form does not enthuse as great many certainty that he will strike-wicket receiving mode opposite Pakistan, with a 50-plus normal in 2011. His manage to buy rate has been superb, yet for India to win, they need Harbhajan to re-discover a wicket-taker in him. The stats as great as new form additionally indicate to Munaf stability to partner Zaheer. Sreesanth is out of foster as great as doesn’t have a stats to behind his case, whilst Nehra’s new form has been rsther than low.

In Pakistan’s case, there is a erotically appealing investigate in contrasts in in in between Umar Gul as great as Shoaib Akhtar. Over a career-wide length, Akhtar has been some-more impressive, yet when new form is taken in to comment he has been sincerely ordinary, whilst Gul has been exceptional. However, it would be genuine to bonus Akhtar. History indicate that he has taken 2 wickets or some-more rounded off half a time he has come to bowl, as great as when he has strike his stride, he’s been an unquestioned match-winner. Perhaps it’s time Shahid Afridi gave him a permit to go full lean a single last time.

Pakistan would additionally do great to embody Saeed Ajmal. Reports suggest, a lane during Mohali is to be a batting-friendly one. In that case, it is improved to go in with an Ajmal who has a improved possibility of receiving wickets than someone identical to Abdur Rehman. Ajmal’s manage to buy rate has additionally been good, as great as with Hafeez as great filing in admirably, Ajmal deserves to be in a team.

So what should a teams devise on? For India, a bowlers have to get Misbah ul Haq as great as Umar Akmal early. They have a many appropriate rate of removing starts for Pakistan, as great as both have achieved really great once set. Recent form-wise too, they have been Pakistan’s many appropriate batsmen.

The stats bear out that Pakistan’s many appropriate gamble whilst batting is to extent a repairs by Zaheer as great as take chances opposite a rest of a Indian attack. While bowling, it will be to safeguard that Yuvraj Singh doesn’t get off to a start. Curiously enough, Pakistan need to be concerned some-more about Yuvraj than Sehwag as a batsman. Given Sehwag’s character of play, his starts mostly do not modify to outrageous scores, that is given he has a secondn lowest normal in a 20-plus scores in in between a Indians. However, Yuvraj creates his starts equate and has been in budding form newly – a fatal combo. Gautam Gambhir is identical in this respect, with a customarily disproportion being he hasn’t been in a form Yuvraj has been in, during this year. And afterwards of course, there is Sachin Tendulkar. If he gets set, he can fool around a undiluted running purpose for India, given he is expected to bat a lot longer than any one else whilst not vouchsafing his strike-rate suffer.

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